An upcoming prolonged drought could cause continental crop failures, livestock deaths, and half the world’s population to die from starvation.
GAIA EQUIPMENT TO SET A THRESHOLD OF 1.5º C, ABOVE WHICH GLOBAL WARMING ACCELERATES AND AGGRAVATES
An upcoming prolonged drought may cause continental crop failures, livestock deaths, and half the world’s population to die from starvation. This future can happen according to the prediction of the WMO that ensures that there is a 40% probability of breaking the threshold of 1.5 to 1.8º C in the next 5 years.
The recent La Niña phenomenon hit the entire planet with unusual force, causing strong and prolonged droughts, ruining crops and drying up mighty rivers in the United States, Europe and China, with unusual heat waves, along with forest fires and other major phenomena.
If within five years or less, according to the prediction of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), the threshold of a warming of 1.5º C is broken, the climatic anomaly will intensify.
It must be borne in mind that if there is an intercontinental drought for one year, all the large crops will be lost and, as a result, between 2 and 4 billion human beings will die of hunger, 9 months after this terminal crisis occurs.
There will be a lack of drinking water, food, the cities that depend on mountain rivers, glaciers and snow, will no longer have water to drink. We are not prepared worldwide to face such a picture of crisis… And this is only the beginning, even worse scourges await us, if we do not stop global warming immediately.
WHAT IS URGENT AND PRIORITY?
Establish the actual timeline of events. We now know that warming is in the acceleration phase. Serious scientific studies are needed to determine statistically and probabilistically how this acceleration translates into years.
It is not the same to expect 1.5º C in 30 or 50 years, than in 5 years. Furthermore, if the acceleration time is much shorter, the effects and changes in climatic phenomena will be much more intense and severe.
The Gaia Team project begins with a body of 30 world-renowned scientists, with extensive curricula in environmental issues, tentatively led by Drs. James Hansen, famed physicist, American climatologist, Adjunct Professor in the Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences at Columbia University. Until early 2013, he headed NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, which is part of the Goddard Space Flight Center, and Professor Lowell Stott, of the Department of Geology at the University of Southern California. To which they are invited to collaborate in the rented team task.
⦁ The investigation will have a maximum time of 3 months.
WHERE WILL THE FUNDS COME FROM?
- In the first instance, donations will be requested from billionaires. Any of them can channel and manage Team Gaia through their respective foundations.
- Credit lines will be requested from the banks, backed by the environmental multinationals that adhere to the project.
- An internet page will be set up to raise funds.
Banks as well as insurance companies are directly impacted by global warming. The former grant credits to build tower buildings facing the sea, when the ocean waters will soon rise and make those facilities uninhabitable.
Floods, droughts, hail and other phenomena affect crops and insurance companies must pay the costs. For both cases, accurate information about how much time we have left before the situation worsens, with what intensity and what other phenomena can occur, is really valuable and vital.
Once the Gaia Team completes its report, at 90 days, the UN should be asked to cooperate and ask the IPCC working under its jurisdiction to confirm or refute this report within 90 days.
The brevity of the deadlines is because we have run out of time to apply countermeasures against the climatic anomaly. We must react quickly.
Once the scientific community issues its opinion and its opinion, the UN will be able to count on a truthful element about the looming threat to alert all the governments of the planet. From there, go on to declare the Planetary Climate Emergency and apply global measures without anesthesia to stop the catastrophe in process.
According to the study, published in the journal Environmental Research Letters, 17,000 years ago, at the end of the Pleistocene epoch, naturally occurring carbon gases escaped from the seafloor and so altered Earth’s atmosphere that melted the ice age.
“Currently, undersea carbon reservoirs release greenhouse gases into the atmosphere as the oceans warm due to human activity. Yeah
underwater carbon deposits
alter again, they will emit a huge new source of greenhouse gases, which would exacerbate climate change,” said Lowell Stott, professor of Earth sciences at the University of Southern California (USA) and lead author of the study, quoted by the portal phys.org.
“The big challenge is that we don’t have estimates of the size of these or which ones are particularly vulnerable to destabilization. It is something that still remains to be determined. The last time it happened, climate change was so great that it caused the end of the ice age. Once that geological process starts, we won’t be able to stop it,” Stott warned.
“At the current rate of increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the planet is likely to experience several degrees of increase in global temperature and large-scale changes such as the loss of ice sheets that could lead to an increase in the level of the sea of several meters in this century”, as stated by Dr. James Hansen.
“Two degrees Celsius of warming would make planet Earth much warmer than it was during the Eemian, and would bring it closer to Pliocene conditions, when sea levels were about 25 meters higher than today,” Hansen said.
The Secretary General of the United Nations, António Guterres, is calling on all the governments of the planet to urgent Climate Action. In this sense, the support of a core scientific report on the cycle of Arctic permafrost, carbohydrates in the Arctic and carbon reservoirs in the oceans is required.
In order for the world to mobilize, science must answer the following questions:
1 How much carbon and methane is stored on the seabed and in the Arctic Circle?
2- If all this methane and carbon is released into the atmosphere
How many degrees will the global average temperature increase, especially over the poles?
3- With this higher temperature, what will be the rate of thawing of the glacial massifs in Greenland and Antarctica?
4- Is there already a process for the release of gases from permafrost and methane gas hydrates in the Arctic?
5- How much more must the temperature rise and the albedo effect be reduced for the chain reaction of the release of arctic submarine methane gas hydrates to start?
6- How many years are left before this chain reaction begins?
7- Can you guarantee that it will not happen?
8- Do you have empirical, statistical, probabilistic, comparative data to be able to evaluate the phenomenon?
9- What do you recommend to do if the data is insufficient?
1 If the WMO is right and in the next 5 years the threshold of 1.5º C is reached, what extreme phenomena will occur on the planet?
1 Due to the constant increase in pollution, 450 ppm of CO2 will be reached in 2030, then we will be able to reach 2ºC, what extreme phenomena will occur on the planet?
1 If it reaches 2ºC, the floating ice of the North Pole will thaw in the summers, the Arctic Ocean will warm up and the immense deposits of methane gas hydrates may be released, the average temperature can jump to 6ºC and up to 12ºC in both poles, what extreme phenomena will occur on the planet?
1 Is there a causal relationship between the greater current retention of energy by the planet and seismic and volcanic activity?
10- Do you support the initiative of 3% of annual global GDP for the Planet?
The United Nations is currently talking about organizing the efforts of all countries to reduce carbon emissions by 45% before 2030 and reach zero emissions in 2050. This objective may be insufficient if we are within a short time distance from the critical threshold for the abrupt chain reaction of the release of methane gas in the Arctic Circle and carbon in the other oceans of the world. If this is the case, it will be necessary to reach zero emissions immediately.
IRREVERSIBLE TIPPING POINTS
Professor Johan Rockström, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Dr David Armstrong McKay from the University of Exeter warn that giant ice sheets, ocean currents and permafrost regions may already be past the point. irreversible inflection.
The collapse of the Greenland glaciers is in an active phase and accelerating with the current 1.1ºC increase in global temperature. Ocean levels can rise rapidly. The North Atlantic haline current may collapse, disrupting the rainfall cycles on which billions of people depend for food. Permafrost rich in carbon and methane gas can thaw abruptly.
When the 1.5ºC threshold is reached, there will be changes in the vast northern forests and losses in almost all mountain glaciers. The researchers indicate that the world is heading towards a warming of 2/3º C, whiche will activate 16 inflection points and others in cascade. With possible destabilization of the Amazon rainforest and its irreversible loss, affecting the climate of the entire planet. The extinction of tropical coral reefs will also take place along with changes in the West African monsoon and the Indian summer monsoon, with likely loss of oxygen from the ocean. In addition, the melting of the Antarctic glaciers will accelerate.
THE FIRST 6 CLIMATE POINTS OF “NO RETURN”
⦁ The collapse of the Greenland ice sheet.
⦁ The collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet.
⦁ The collapse of ocean circulation in the North Atlantic polar region.
⦁ Extinction of coral reefs in low latitudes.
⦁ Sudden melting of permafrost (permanently frozen ground layer) in northern regions.
⦁ Abrupt loss of sea ice in the Barents Sea.
The worst mistake we are making is believing that we have time to avoid the worst…
Arch. Roberto Guillermo Gomes